MikeNovack wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2026 11:21 pm
Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2026 8:07 pm
They're unlikely to leave their cash-cow, which is Alberta. So this result may not amount to much.
If Alberta does a referendum, then
that will be the one to watch.
Economics will not be a major factor if/when Quebec tries to separate. The decision will not be based on "will be better off ECONOMICALLY".
No, it will be cultural and linguistic...and xenophobic, if we take the word of the previous PQ leader in the last referendum. But economics will define the limits of the possible. Quebec is not capable of providing for itself, or of functioning as an independent country. That's why, the last time, they were trying for what they called "sovereignty association," a plan whereby they would get their political and cultural autonomy, but still be able to draw on the gravy train running from Ontario and the West.
They didn't get it then: they won't get it now.
But won't even consider holding a referendum while Trump is in power in the US
Oh, you vastly overestimate Trump's importance. They don't care about that. Canada's already put themselves way out of favour there.
Alberta will not hold a referendum on separation NOW (while Trump is in power) either,...
Wait and see. You also clearly have no idea how angry people are in the West with interference from Ontario and with having to send their own money to Quebec. They are not happy about either.
They may or they may not hold a referendum. But they've prepared for one. And if they do, that will be the one that counts. Alberta has all the natural resources that fund social programs in Ontario, Quebec and the Maritimes, and yet lose a lot of their own money through"transfer payments" to those provinces. The LIberals have so far been unhelpful and unsympathetic to the Western sense of injustice, because they don't want to give up any of the money they get, and they like their "green agenda" and hate things like oil and lumber. So Alberta has lots of resources, and yet finds itself struggling because of the rest of Canada. And America seems quite accommodating to Alberta's ambition for self-determination, so they may never again have such a powerful ally.
We will see. But one thing for sure: the Quebec election doesn't mean much, all by itself.