You've completely missed the point. We're not talking about a mere "finite string." We're talking about a chain of cause-and-effect.MikeNovack wrote: ↑Sat Aug 01, 2026 1:45 pmYou CANNOT prove that any finite string with apparent pattern is not random.Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Sat Aug 01, 2026 1:38 am
That's actually not the rival hypothesis. The rival hypothesis is "Random chance created the universe." And when you realize that's the alternative...well, all the evidence goes one side.
The special feature of a chain of cause-and-effect is that the cause has to, definitionally, happen prior to the effect. If the supposed "cause" happens exactly contemporaneous with or after the proposed "effect," then neither is the supposed "cause" the real cause, nor is the supposed "effect" the real effect of that supposed cause. Thus, it forms a chain of prerequisites.
If I were to suggest that the "cause" of WW2 was the unsatisfactory resolution of WW1, you might believe that. But if I were to tell you that the unsatisfactory resolution of WW1 caused the rise of Napoleon, you'd recognize right away that I'd lost my mind: any proposed cause must happen before the proposed effect, or it is simply not a logical candidate for a cause. And you already know that.
It a string of cause-and-effect that cannot recede infinitely into the past. Because then, the prerequisites are never met. There are neither effects nor any causes, and nothing exists.
But something does exist, manifestly. Therefore, an infinitely recessive chain of prerequisites (cause-and-effect) did not produce it. It could not, by definition.
No, you're actually wrong. Monotheism, polytheism, panentheism, pantheism, etc. have already given up the game we're talking about.Random s NOT the only alternative that. Another obviously distinct monotheism, polytheism, panentheism, pantheism, etc. are ALL contenders for "something other than YOURs".
They all posit a First Cause, that cause being some conception of the Supreme Being. (Pantheism even bows to this, because it posits "little gods" that were created by something bigger and prior, some "divine principle." Gnosticism surrenders by making up a demiurge who, while the creator, is only a late "emanation" of "the "Pleroma," to use their language, which is capped by some First Cause -- they say "Abyss," or some such thing.) So they're united only in this: that there needed to be a First Cause.
The only opposition to the First Cause explanation is randomness. So what the randomness people want us to believe is that nothing created something out of nothing. And that something that nothing created came to have all the features of mathematical consistency, causality, coherence, life and irreducible complexity that we observe so regularly in our universe.
Those are the only two players in the primary game of "First Cause, or No First Cause." Which one do you back?