Oh, that's easy: because Aunt Mathilde is one case, not a set of data. There are often exceptions to any rule; but it never invalidates the rule. It's still not prudent to ignore the scientific data and the millions who have been afflicted with smoking-caused cancers, merely because you hope -- and have no way of knowing -- that Aunt Mathilde's DNA is the reason she's an exception, and that you have inherited the right Aunt Mathilde DNA alliles to make you impervious to cancer.Gary Childress wrote: ↑Tue Jun 02, 2026 10:17 pmHow do you know you are lying to yourself? If your Aunt Methilde smoked constantly and lived to be 101, then how do you know that wouldn't also be true of you?Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Tue Jun 02, 2026 4:02 pmLet's say I know that smoking cigarettes will cause cancer. But I like to smoke. So instead of paying any attention to the averages or the scientific evidence, I point to my Aunt Mathilde, who smoked constantly and died at age 101. And I insist that whatever may be true for others, it's not going to be a threat to me, because I have good genes.Gary Childress wrote: ↑Sun May 31, 2026 10:07 pm
How does a person lie to themselves? And what counts as a "lie" to oneself or is an example of it?
Now I'm lying to myself. Very easy to do.
And you know you don't really know these things: but you want to smoke. So you weight the slim chance that Aunt Mathilde is a DNA superwoman and has passed her superness on to you, on the one hand, against all the scientific data and contrary cases, on the other hand, and still claim to be behaving rationally.
We've got questions.