thomyum2 wrote: ↑Tue May 19, 2026 3:11 am
Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Tue May 19, 2026 1:45 am
What you're saying is that you knew because you compared the statement to how things are in the external world. New York really is in the region they call New York State. So the statement was true. And it was true in a way such that not only should you believe it, but that I should, too. It was objectively true. That's how truth works.
But subjectivity does not work like that. It has no sources of outside verification, and cannot thus compel any other person to have to agree.
So, for the sake of discussion and clarification, let's take another example: the belief that the earth is flat or round. If I lived in a rural place a thousand years ago, and I never travel farther than, say from Athens to Sparta, then holding the belief that the world if flat works just fine - reality does not, as your quote said, 'push back' against this belief at all.
Actually, it does: but I lack the experience to know it does.
Reality will "push back" in that if I try to sail off the edge, I will not be able to do it. The status of things in the world will not permit it. So my subjective belief is simply "untrue" -- it fails to correspond to reality, and reality does not accommodate it.
That doesn't mean I know that. It just means that that is how it will be.
But if I'm navigating a ship or aircraft going from London to New York, believing that the world is flat is going to be a major liability. And then, of course, we do not know what technological innovations or advances in human understanding will come in the future that may cause us to need to revise our picture of the reality we live in that could make the belief in a flat or round world obsolete.
Right.
Human knowledge is always partial, incomplete, and revisable. Reality is not. Truth remains truth, even when I don't know what the truth is.
I think this understanding of our limitations and the awareness of an ever-changing picture of what reality looks like, over the course of history and across cultures, leads some people to make claims about the relativism of truth and say things like 'truth is subjective' (or as I often hear these days - 'intersubjective').
That's a plausible guess, actually. The fact that we so often find out we were wrong about something, and have to revise our understanding, may lead us to epistemic humilty; to a recognition that however firmly we may believe something, we should always leave a small gap for the possibility of changing our minds.
That being said, not all knowledge is equal. Some things we do know with such confidence that our knowledge is close to 100% sure. Other things, we may find highly likely, but not absolutely certain...say, 90%. Then there are things that are the best estimates on the current data, but still need to be open to instant revision, and may even already show gaps that raise questions...perhaps we're only 80% on those. And then there are things that are more plausible than not, but not so wildly plausible that we venture to insist on them...maybe our certainty stops at 65%. By the time we get to close to 50%, we might not be ready to call what certainty we have "knowing" at all. Maybe it's better to call it "venturing" or "wagering." And below that level of confidence, we'd have to call it outright "risking" or "gambling." Not all knowledge attains the same level of confidence...nor should it all.
So the relevant question is, "With what level of certainty can we say X?"
As finite and temporal beings, we never have a complete picture of 'reality', so using the definition of 'conforming to reality' begs the question of which or whose version or narrative of external world we look to for conformation of what is the 'truth'. How do we reconcile the sense of humility that comes with the recognition that our understanding of reality is always incomplete with the commitment to truth as an absolute concept? I have a sense that this leads us toward Kant, but I'd like to hear what you have to say.
This dovetails nicely with what I was suggesting, I think.
I don't believe in absolute certainty in human knowledge. I think we find that there's always at least a small, however implausible, window of doubt involved in all human knowing.
For example, I believe in gravity. And I feel that my confidence level in it is very high...but never absolute. It is possible, though not likely, that some new theory will suddenly spring from science, and it will revolutionize our whole idea of the dynamics between objects, and perhaps even shatter our picture of the world. It has happened before. Kuhn called such things "paradigm shifts," and they are far from unusual, even in the hard sciences. But what is my confidence in tomorrow's weather? Less. I've read the report, and I feel only 70% conviction they'll get it right, perhaps. Maybe less. And as for my conviction I'll win at blackjack...that's about 40%, on a given hand.
Human knowledge is all probabilistic, not absolute. But reality always wins. That's how things like paradigm shifts happen. Despite the best efforts of the brightest human minds, things can get missed or misunderstood; and reality corrects for that eventually, if we keep looking.
Subjectivity, however, is not correctable. As it does not depend on reality, but merely on feeling or intuition, it can go wildly wrong; and no method exists for correcting it, so long as it is detached from being tested against reality.