Gary Childress wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 1:21 pm
Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 3:38 am
Am I then to take from your response that you would say that it's more plausible to explain the existence of the universe in terms of intelligent design than in terms of something non-sentient? Or have you thought of some new non-sentient candidate, in the interval since last we spoke?
Sure. It seems as though intelligent design is a more plausible explanation for what we see around us than the idea of natural laws popping up out of nowhere. But that's coming from an ignorant being who doesn't know anything beyond what I experience in everyday life.
But wait: ALMOST EVERYTHING we know, we know less than perfectly, right? For example, when you get out of bed in the morning, you don't know that you won't get hit by a car that day. You cannot be certain. Maybe, therefore, you should stay in bed all day, right?
Of course not. You act on reasonable probabilities. Sure, you might get run over. But chances are, you won't -- particularly if you remain thoughtful and vigilant. So the fact that there's something we don't know for sure doesn't paralyze us. We can go forward, so long as we regard the probablities involved as sufficiently large.
So how certain should we be of this? On the one side, we might say that while the universe does look like it has significant evidence of design in it, there's an outside possibility that we're fooling ourselves. Okay. But what is on the other side?
We looked at that. So far, we've been unable to propose
even one candidate for a reasonable alternative. As you rightly suggest, "natural laws popping out of nowhere" simply makes no sense at all as any kind of explanation. For one thing, "nothing" doesn't do things. For another, we have not one single example in all of human history and all of natural science of things just "popping" into existence out of nothing.
So if we have, on the one hand, a probable but slightly less than certain explanation, and on the other, zero, what is the right alternative in which to invest our trust? Which one should we reject immediately, and which one assume is true until further notice? Which one ought to be the basis of our actions, pending some confirmation we've gone wrong?
So the choice comes down to whether or not I want to think that I know more than I do or to choose ot think I am ignorant. I choose to think I am ignorant.
But why that, Gary? Why do you construct it as a zero-sum game, as in
"either I have to have absolute certainty, or I have to think myself totally ignorant"? Why not say, as we say in all of the rest of life, and in all of human science,
"X is my present theory, and I will go forward testing that theory so long as it holds out; and if it does not, I'll go to a new theory"? Is that not the more sane, wise and middle-road solution to such a question?
In all of life, you work based on
probability:
I will probably not die today...my job will probably be there when I get there...they will probably pay me for the work I am doing...my colleague will probably keep his appointment...I will probably not get cancer from using the photocopier as much as I do...I will probably go to Dallas on Tuesday...and so on. Why, on the question of what we think we're doing here, in this world, would we suddenly drop the method we use all the time, for everything else, and say instead, "I'm ignorant, and paralyzed"?
