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Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm
by Eodnhoj7
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:34 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:29 pm Why don't you predict something and prove prediction works without relying on probabalism.

You know so much about prediction, so define it.
But also. That's moronic. Prediction that doesn't rely on probabilism is not a prediction.

Tomorrow you may or may not die! That's not probabilistic. That's 100% certain.

If that's knowledge, I'll gladly trade it for toilet paper.
Actually I will both die and not die.

Prediction that relies on variables that are not taken into account is not really a prediction now is it. 99.9999 percent certainty still represents a yes/no dichotomy where we don't know because the future is a contradiction in terms.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:50 pm
by Logik
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm Actually I will both die and not die.
Yes. That's called uncertainty.

Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm Prediction that relies on variables that are not taken into account is not really a prediction now is it. 99.9999 percent certainty still represents a yes/no dichotomy where we don't know because the future is a contradiction in terms.
So you don't think there's any difference between:

There is a 1 in 2 chance you will die tomorrow.
AND
There is a 1 in 100000 chance you will die tomorrow?

Like I said. Your insistence for 100% certainty is self-contradictory. 100% certainty means 0% uncertainty.

0% uncertainty means determinism!

Free will is not possible if anything was 100% certain.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:52 pm
by Eodnhoj7
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:50 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm Actually I will both die and not die.
Yes. That's called uncertainty.

No, it is certain. Parts of me will die mentally, emotionally, and physical and other parts will be renewed.
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm Prediction that relies on variables that are not taken into account is not really a prediction now is it. 99.9999 percent certainty still represents a yes/no dichotomy where we don't know because the future is a contradiction in terms.
So you don't think there's any difference between:

There is a 1 in 2 chance you will die tomorrow.
AND
There is a 1 in 100000 chance you will die tomorrow?

You tell me, it is still a basic dualism or yes or no.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:57 pm
by Logik
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:52 pm
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:50 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm Actually I will both die and not die.
Yes. That's called uncertainty.

No, it is certain. Parts of me will die mentally, emotionally, and physical and other parts will be renewed.
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:39 pm Prediction that relies on variables that are not taken into account is not really a prediction now is it. 99.9999 percent certainty still represents a yes/no dichotomy where we don't know because the future is a contradiction in terms.
So you don't think there's any difference between:

There is a 1 in 2 chance you will die tomorrow.
AND
There is a 1 in 100000 chance you will die tomorrow?

You tell me, it is still a basic dualism or yes or no.
Till it isn't.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:00 pm
by Eodnhoj7
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:57 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:52 pm
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:50 pm
Yes. That's called uncertainty.

No, it is certain. Parts of me will die mentally, emotionally, and physical and other parts will be renewed.


So you don't think there's any difference between:

There is a 1 in 2 chance you will die tomorrow.
AND
There is a 1 in 100000 chance you will die tomorrow?

You tell me, it is still a basic dualism or yes or no.
Till it isn't.
Good, than the parrellel postulate of Euclid, with the potentially intersecting lines representing the dualism of "choices" can be proven.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:01 pm
by Logik
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:00 pm Good, than the parrellel postulate of Euclid, with the potentially intersecting lines representing the dualism of "choices" can be proven.
No it won't. You will be dead before you can communicate the proof ;)

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:02 pm
by Eodnhoj7
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:01 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:00 pm Good, than the parrellel postulate of Euclid, with the potentially intersecting lines representing the dualism of "choices" can be proven.
No it won't. You will be dead before you can communicate the proof ;)
ROFL!!!!! We will see...working on it now. Don't you love how one symbol, in this case a "problem", can represent another symbol, in this case another problem? Isomorphism at it's finest.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:03 pm
by Logik
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:00 pm Good, than the parrellel postulate of Euclid, with the potentially intersecting lines representing the dualism of "choices" can be proven.
And also, you have NO idea where on the timeline the intersection will happen.


Is it at T=7th February 2019, or at T=7th February 2075 ?

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:04 pm
by Logik
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:02 pm ROFL!!!!! We will see...working on it now. Don't you love how one symbol, in this case a "problem", can represent another symbol, in this case another problem? Isomorphism at it's finest.
If you can tell me where on the timeline the intersection will happen. THEN you will impress me.

Tell me when you will die ;)

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:05 pm
by Eodnhoj7
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:03 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:00 pm Good, than the parrellel postulate of Euclid, with the potentially intersecting lines representing the dualism of "choices" can be proven.
And also, you have NO idea where on the timeline the intersection will happen.


Is it at T=7th February 2019, or at T=7th February 2075 ?
Not if "intersection" is a timeline. Xeno's paradox...remember?

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:06 pm
by Logik
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:05 pm Not if "intersection" is a timeline.
Well "intersection" suggests two lines. Name them.

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:07 pm
by Eodnhoj7
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:06 pm
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:05 pm Not if "intersection" is a timeline.
Well "intersection" suggests two lines. Name them.
At minimum, but the point of intersection...with all lines relative to another line existing as points in themselves, is a line.

Re: just lost a lengthy post to the ether, sumthin' I had no choice in...

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:28 pm
by peacegirl
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 5:37 pm
peacegirl wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 5:05 pm
henry quirk wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 4:51 pm ...but, angry as I am at the failure of this old crapsack Ipad, I choose to simply set it aside instead of slam it down on the concrete.

I can do this (be angry but not act from anger) cuz I'm a free will.

More later (perhaps a replication of the lost post).
Your choice not to throw the ipad on the ground was not done by your free will. If you learned how to control your anger then obviously as angry as you might have been, you chose, in the direction of greater satisfaction, not to act on that impulse. That is called self-control. There's no conflict here.
The conflict comes from your hindsight.

If you say “it couldn’t have been any other way”

You are effectively saying that is the only choice you could have made.

If that was true yesterday why isn’t it true today?
It couldn't have been any other way because we cannot undo the past. The present is still an unknown.

Re: just lost a lengthy post to the ether, sumthin' I had no choice in...

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:31 pm
by Logik
peacegirl wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:28 pm
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 5:37 pm
peacegirl wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 5:05 pm

Your choice not to throw the ipad on the ground was not done by your free will. If you learned how to control your anger then obviously as angry as you might have been, you chose, in the direction of greater satisfaction, not to act on that impulse. That is called self-control. There's no conflict here.
The conflict comes from your hindsight.

If you say “it couldn’t have been any other way”

You are effectively saying that is the only choice you could have made.

If that was true yesterday why isn’t it true today?
It couldn't have been any other way because we cannot undo the past. The present is still an unknown.
You are stating the obvious.

Still waiting for the “revolution”

Re: Revolution in Thought

Posted: Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:35 pm
by peacegirl
Eodnhoj7 wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:29 pm
Logik wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:19 pm
Belinda wrote: Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:16 pm Logik you asked Peacegirl what "greater satisfaction " predicts. Here is the rest of what Peacegirl wrote about greater satisfaction:



The decision involving drama queens I believe was Henry Quirk's .
The reasoning man may defer satisfaction so that there will be greater satisfaction at a later time or place. It's difficult to predict what an individual man will do even when one is aware of his predispositions. The direction of greater satisfaction is easier to predict when the individual is emotionally reactive than when the individual is reflective.

It's impossible to predict what large groups of people will do in the long term because of the chaos of possibilities. It's comparatively easy for a naturalist to predict what large groups of other animals will do because other animals especially wild animals behave mostly instinctively, and any cultural transmission from mother to offspring will be a lot slower than the sometimes lightning-fast cultural shifts of men.
So predict SOMETHING.Anything!

Currently all that is being said is that "people will choose that which brings upon maximum satisfaction".
What is THE satisfaction that majority of people desire? You would expect that to maximise through the system.

That is nothing more than a re-wording of the selection principle. That which is being selected FOR will maximise through the system.
Natural selection selects for survival. Therefore there are more surviving species and less extinct species to be observed (DUH!)

This is (literally) survivorship bias.

That is how positive feedback loops work.

But you can't tell me WHICH species will survive and which will be extinct 1000 years from now.
Why don't you predict something and prove prediction works without relying on probabalism.

You know so much about prediction, so define it.
This is going in a direction that is unnecessarily argumentative. Prediction is not required to bring about this new world other than to know, that under changed environmental conditions (the conditions that I touched on but didn't elaborate) man will be unable to prefer hurting others when not to hurt them becomes the better, or more preferable, choice in the direction of greater satisfaction. Remember, this is the only direction we can go. We cannot move in the direction of dissatisfaction when something better is offered as an alternative.