Re: 100% Proof That Gods Do Not Exist
Posted: Sun Jul 16, 2017 3:36 am
Beliefs and truth claims are different. One can be an agnostic theist or an agnostic atheist.
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What did he have to say about your argument when you spoke to him?
I understand the guess, but it's a poor one, for a couple of reasons.When nontheists hear stuff like "I wonder how 'let it be' will serve in the end," we don't see theists trying to extend a helping hand. We see attempts to browbeat nonbelievers into submission for the purpose of social control. 'We see priests backed by kings demanding obeisance to the church lest nonbelievers burn in hellfire, etc. This serves the purpose of both kings and priests who get nice, docile subjects to be fleeced and exploited.
Atheism has no such thing as "wickedness," and so logically cannot even make that accusation. But let's allow it anyway, even if it's essentially a denial of Atheism. After all, I do genuinely think Atheism's got the whole situation wrong, and there is genuinely such a thing as "wickedness."In any event, as I have argued elsewhere, a God who would torture someone for eternity simply for lacking belief in God is a thoroughly wicked entity and not worthy of worship even if he exists.
They deny they are "agnostic" actually. I've tried saying to them, "You're not an Atheist; you're a hard agnostic," even though that is what people like Dawkins say about themselves. The Atheists on this board won't have any of that.
You're absolutely right. It's only an assumption, and has no justified claim to truth.They do not think that God exists, but cannot prove it. That is an assumption rather than an assertion and so it is not a truth claim
If that were true, then one would wonder what "agnostic" actually meant. What is "not-known" by the agnostic?
I don't think so. Probability requires absolute knowledge in that we know all the possible outcomes. We just do not know which outcome. For example, if we toss a coin we can say the probability of 'heads' is 50%, because we know the probability of the only other possibility; 'tails', is also 50%. If the two do not add up to 100%, i.e. if some possibilities were unknown (could the coin land on its edge?), then we can't know the probabilities.Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2017 2:49 pm
The problem is that all Christians and all Atheists, and in fact, all persons who "know" anything are, in fact, claiming not to "know" absolutely, but rather to know probabilistically. All empirical knowledge is probabilistic, you see.
Again, neither can talk about 'preponderance' I could only say that the preponderance of evidence was on one side if I knew the totality of evidence, such that I could weigh one side against the other and see which had the majority.So we're only talking about levels of certainty, not about doing a different kind of knowledge. The "Atheist-agnostic," if such a thing there could be, would only be saying, "I regard the majority of evidence to be against the idea of God," and the "Theist-agnostic" would only be saying, "I regard the preponderance of evidence to favour the existence of God."
Sorry, but no, it doesn't. You don't need more than two possibilities -- such as that either X will happen, or X will not -- and you have enough to make a probability calculation. And that's what we do all the time.
We don't "know" probabilities in that sense at all. We estimate them, not know them absolutely. That's the point, actually. If we had perfect knowledge of all the relevant variables, we would not need to "estimate" their likelihood at all.if some possibilities were unknown (could the coin land on its edge?), then we can't know the probabilities.
Sorry again...that's just not true. You can't assign an exact degree of probability; but you can estimate one. For example, you can estimate the chances that Sunderland's first squad could win a game against a field of grandmothers.I cannot assign any degree of probability to any particular answer being correct.
You don't need the "totality." All you need is there to be more available evidence for X than for Y. Then you take your shot, and you live with the outcome.I could only say that the preponderance of evidence was on one side if I knew the totality of evidence, such that I could weigh one side against the other and see which had the majority.
You would need to specify what game is being played and how the teams are equipped. Sub-machine Guns for the grandmothers could negate any advantage the other team has.Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2017 3:30 pm For example, you can estimate the chances that Sunderland's first squad could win a game against a field of grandmothers.
Or maybe that's not a clear example.![]()
We do not make 'probability calculations' all the time, we guess. We guess that if today is not much has changed, then today will broadly resemble yesterday. But this does not work with God, since we don't know if God existed yesterday,Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2017 3:30 pm
Sorry, but no, it doesn't. You don't need more than two possibilities -- such as that either X will happen, or X will not -- and you have enough to make a probability calculation. And that's what we do all the time.
No, probabilities can be known exactly - if we know all the possible outcomes. The odds on dice throws are not estimates; we know exactly what the odds of throwing a 'six' are. That is distinct from individual outcomes.We don't "know" probabilities in that sense at all. We estimate them, not know them absolutely. That's the point, actually. If we had perfect knowledge of all the relevant variables, we would not need to "estimate" their likelihood at all.
Now you are no longer talking about 'probability' but some unspecified process called 'estimating'.Sorry again...that's just not true. You can't assign an exact degree of probability; but you can estimate one. For example, you can estimate the chances that Sunderland's first squad could win a game against a field of grandmothers.
Or called 'taking a shot'.You don't need the "totality." All you need is there to be more available evidence for X than for Y. Then you take your shot, and you live with the outcome.
Indeed, I don't know, and you don't offer me odds in that bet anyway. However, I could calculate them, assuming I knew all the possibilities of what could happen when we tossed the coin.Go back to the example of the coin. If I offered you this wager, would you take it: "If it's heads, you give me a million Euros; if it's tails, you give me a million Euros; but if the coin stands on its edge after the flip, I give you a million Euros" -- take it, or not?
I would. But you'd be crazy to do it, even though you don't know the odds of a perfect edge-stand.
Mr Can you could very easily find out what "agnostic" actually means. This would be a good place to look: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agnosticism The word was invented by Thomas Huxley, who defined it thus:Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2017 2:49 pmIf that were true, then one would wonder what "agnostic" actually meant. What is "not-known" by the agnostic?
No Mr Can; it is you that does not see. Scientific hypotheses are inferences from empirical data. The empirical data are not "probabilistic", they are actual events or phenomena, that have been observed. There are two types of inference that can be drawn from the data.Immanuel Can wrote:The problem is that all Christians and all Atheists, and in fact, all persons who "know" anything are, in fact, claiming not to "know" absolutely, but rather to know probabilistically. All empirical knowledge is probabilistic, you see.
Again; no, Mr Can. The "Atheist-agnostic" is saying "One cannot know whether there is a god, and I don't believe there is." and the "Theist-agnostic is saying, "You're right, Atheist-agnostic, one cannot know whether there is a god, but I believe it anyway."Immanuel Can wrote:So we're only talking about levels of certainty, not about doing a different kind of knowledge. The "Atheist-agnostic," if such a thing there could be, would only be saying, "I regard the majority of evidence to be against the idea of God," and the "Theist-agnostic" would only be saying, "I regard the preponderance of evidence to favour the existence of God."
Mr Can, if you would only look up "agnostic", you could answer your own question.Immanuel Can wrote:What then is being added by the term "agnostic"?
That's because some theists can't tell the difference between faith and knowledge.Immanuel Can wrote:Only the truism that all beliefs are matters of relative and probabilistic certitude, not absolutes. But we know that anyway, so it doesn't need stating, surely. In fact, Theists believe that faith (i.e. a final judgment based on the preponderance of evidence) is an absolutely necessary part of knowing.
That is an hypothesis that you have generated with absurdly biased interpretation of woefully inadequate data.Immanuel Can wrote:The only difference on that between them and the Atheists is that the Atheists generally fear to admit that.
Then what was he, and in his name you, doing telling us how to behave?Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2017 2:30 pmFirstly, Christians don't seek "social control," by definition. Christ Himself claimed, "My kingdom is not of this world."
In which case, they are not atheists.Immanuel Can wrote:It's interesting that the Atheist blames God in two contradictory ways.
I have no intention of speaking to him -- or rather, I should say, trying to speak to him. Do you think he would speak to me even if I tried to speak to him?Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Mon Jul 17, 2017 2:30 pmWhat did he have to say about your argument when you spoke to him?
This atheist respects God too much to be sure that she knows all about God. I describe myself as an atheist for social reasons. So that true believers of any sort don't presume that I belong to their club.It's interesting that the Atheist blames God in two contradictory ways. First, he says he doesn't want God, because believing in God would inhibit his moral and personal freedom.
These terms are distinct only by the variable of how much information is potentially involved in each case -- if at all. It's not really clear at which point an "estimate of probability," an "empirical judgment," or a "shot" turns into a "guess," in fact, nor how one ranks these. They are not completely distinct processes, since all involve some degree of uncertainty and some degree of information, rather than absolute certainty in any case.
That would be my question back the other way.
Oh, dear. Why don't you tell me what my "misunderstanding" of Plantinga's OA is? I have repeatedly invited you to address the substance of my rebuttal of it, and you have repeatedly declined -- choosing instead to focus on the irrelevant aside of my expressed opinion of his motives. This is especially strange because I did not even ad hom him -- saying that his "proof" was wrong because of some personal characteristic of his. I showed why the proof was wrong, in several different posts -- none of which you have responded to.Immanuel Can wrote: ↑Tue Jul 18, 2017 2:25 pmThat would be my question back the other way.
You have the means to pursue Plantinga's OA, if you care about it. But it's neither the only, nor (in my view) even the most important Theistic argument -- nor am I Alvin Plantinga. So persisting in misunderstanding (or, as you would prefer, in criticizing it) in the absence of its chief proponent has no utility for anyone.
If you care about it, the right move is to speak to Plantinga, who is quite an approachable fellow, actually.