Londoner wrote:Why do we privilege the state of affairs that does exits, such that only this one represents 'order', therefore must have been 'designed'?
Simply because we know what "design" looks like. It has qualities like specificity, designation, repetition, function, interrelationship and so on within it. We actually have no trouble at all differentiating this from chaos. The human mind seems eminently well-equipped for doing so...another evidence of design, it itself.
You cannot observe 'everything'
Good thing you don't have to, then.
...because you, as observer, are part of the thing you are observing. You cannot do inductive reasoning about the universe because there are never any negative examples; the universe never contradicts the rules of the universe.
Actually, there are "negative examples," if you like to put it that way. Our universe contains both things which show the features of design, and things which show decay, decomposition, randomness, and so forth. And every day, we instinctively are able to detect the differences, and that based on identifiable criteria like those I suggested above. I see no difficulty there at all.
I would suggest that the problem is that we are using the 'universe' to mean 'everything'.
That's not a "problem." It's actually the correct definition of "universe." If we mean something smaller, we say "solar system," or "galaxy," or something that refers to something more limited.
But we are also using it as if it was a location, meaning 'where we happen to live', such that their might be other universes.
Well, for my part, I wasn't. If I ever did, it was an accident, and I retract that usage happily.
I don't believe in "other universes," and I think we can rationally show that there are no "everythings" out there other than this "everything." The Multiverse Hypothesis is 100% speculation, without a scrap of actual evidence. We have no reason to think the term even makes sense. For if a different "universe" ever became empirically known, then it would, by definition, simply be a previously-unknown part of THIS "universe," THIS "everything."
The only reason it ever appeared is that secular cosmologists seek an alternative to THIS universe, because without it we get into the entropy and regression problems, and they know darn well that pretty much ends the debate in favour of a First Cause. So they're running like mad to find a way out, and are prepared even to launch non-empirical, speculative models in an effort to show "it doesn't have to be like that."
So when we talk about 'this universe' have been chosen from a range of possible universes we can only do so by contradicting the first meaning of 'universe' ('everything').
Precisely right. So we need to throw away all nonsense about "Multiverses." The idea is nonsensical.
So, to say stuff about one universe ('everything') we have to imagine an observer who is outside the universe (who doesn't happen to live there). And we have done; 'God'. We do this by suggesting a parallel spiritual realm, so that although our own universe is still 'everything', there is also a separate universe of spirit. And from the point of view of that universe of spirit, our own universe is a separate object, one that can be observed.
Non-sequitur. If as I have said above, the "universe" itself (meaning, "everything in material existence), then we have a First Cause to that "universe," because of the regression problem. But then we have to deny what Sagan says in
Cosmos, namely, that "the universe is all there is, all there was, and all there will ever be." However, we still have no reason to think that whatever "else" exists, it is another "universe" like our own.
It would have to be a "something" in a
completely different category from the material universe.
Unless we take that step, which assumes what we are trying to prove, we cannot get started.
I think not so. We can deduce it from design and the regression problem, if nothing else. But I think we can also know it by other means.
Re: universal theories (everything is by God's will, life is all a dream etc.)
Me: There is no piece of evidence that can disprove them, because everything can be accounted for within the theory.
Non-sequitur. Just because an "explanation" is possible and comprehensive does not make it the exclusive explanation, the correct explanation or the necessary explanation. It just makes it a very elaborate mistake.
Absolutely it does not make it the exclusive explanation. My point was that there can be any number of universal theories; none of them can be proved or disproved, so that none of them can claim exclusivity.
"Exclusivity" of what? "Exclusivity" of apparent explanatory ability, or "exclusivity" of rightness? The two are very different.
Yes, we cannot
show beyond any possibility of doubt that the brain-in-a-vat explanation cannot be right, but we have reasons to regard it as so unlikely as to be dismissed. For one thing, nobody lives as if it were true. There are far more plausible explanations that go along much better with the observable regularities of human activity and the kinds of cognitive experiences we all have. For example, unless ALL other people are fictional constructs of "the vat," we have reason to seek to communicate -- as you and I are doing right now -- but if they are mere fictional constructs, we have no reason to do so. Other people are not, in fact, "real," so things like communication, morality, knowledge and reason itself (so necessary as it is even to considering the "brain-in-a-vat" thought experiment) are inauthentic. But if other people are in any sense "real" or "brains," we ought to puzzle about why they have such similar "delusions" -- if that's what consciousness really is... But again, I think we have every reason to doubt it.
That doesn't make them mistakes, as I wrote it makes them 'inconsequential', since whichever is true (if any) it makes no difference.
Oh, I think that's evidently untrue. Even delusions can be "consequential": how much more is the truth "of consequence"? What we think makes a very big difference, even when it's untrue.
There was a time when people believed that matter was solid. That is a comprehensive explanation, covering all things: there was no "further down" to drill, it was thought, and nobody yet had the means to show it wrong. So it was just like the brain-in-a-vat. And yet, it was wrong.
'Matter is solid' is not a theory; it is a description. In due course we came up with a more complex description of the nature of matter.
A "theory" and a "description" are not opposite terms. Some theories "describe," and some "attribute." Some "explain" and some "evaluate." Theories come in different kinds, and refer to different cognitive challenges.
This is what Newton meant when he wrote 'Hypotheses non fingo'; he described gravity, but he could not give a reason for it.
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That would be a limitation of Newton and his theory about gravity. He was just honestly admitting the limitations of his personal knowledge, and saying that he would prefer to leave the matter hanging, since he had nothing further to go on, pending a better explanation.
In other words, he would not advance a "feigned" or
gratuitous theory. Not that no theory could ever apply to gravity. Nobody could say such a thing, because unless there were a "definitional" or "analytical" reason to
prove that no further theory would ever apply, Newton would have been rash to say so much; nobody knows the future. How could he then say what theories might be possible for others in the future?
He wasn't saying there would BE no more theories...just that HE didn't have one, and wouldn't fake one. (This was the point that poor old wtf didn't get on the other strand, and got all bunched up about.)
More on...
Re: Language and 'truth'.
...later.
Must run.