Belinda wrote: ↑Wed Nov 18, 2020 10:22 am
Immanuel Can, I am surprised at you for trotting out that lame old 'irreducible complexity' argument for intelligent design.'
Heh.

Oh, B....you're so transparent! Are you really going to lead off with the old "shame" routine, "I'm surprised at you, you naughty boy..."
Sorry, not buying. No, it's not actually the irreducible complexity argument (which is not merely Behe's by the way, but I see your information isn't very good). That one is actually a very, very good argument. I'm surprised you've never thought about it long enough to realize how strong it actually is. It's actually empirically observable at a basic level to absolutely everyone, in fact...even to you, should you open your eyes and realize you stand in an irreducibly complex world.
But no, the argument is much more mathematical-empirical here. It's that it's not remotely reasonable to posit mere "chance + time" as an agency capable of producing the astronomical numbers of relations we empirically observe. And even the most sanguine scientist, if he's remotely frank, would have to admit that chance + time is an absurdly high-improbability hypothesis; he's perhaps just going to hope (in blind faith) that somehow, somebody, someday, will be able to invent a defensible explanation that he knows he presently lacks.
The complexity argument is a next-step argument, a follow-up. It comes into play only once the high-improbability argument has found some solution. Which, of course, it never has.
Cicero117' is a complex phenomenon like the human eye is a complex phenonenon. Yet the human eye evolved by simple stages beginning with a skin cell that was more sensitive to light than other skin cells.
Seriously, B? You're going to just
assume your conclusion, and hope I won't notice that's all you're doing? That's just the classic fallacy of "begging the question," and no more. Are you going to try to sell me on the monkey-too-man theory next?

(What
did happen to that one, by the way?

)
Evolution is a process happening over a geological time scale.
The problem with that claim, B., is that it makes the chance that mere chance was at work far
less, not
greater.
For if you suppose we got a lucky break somehow, and the two amino acids you have to assume popped into existence out of nothing met each other any joined somehow, then that is an act of astronomical good fortune. But it's just one. However, after that, since the time scale is drawn out by you, you have to imagine that not only that one unfathomably fortuitous event took place by chance, but that a quintillion other such miraculous "chances" also continued to happen, over billions of years, so that the whole process could just "work out by accident."
And this is what you think happened?
Honestly, B. If you're going to rely on imperious shaming to carry your argument for you, you should choose an argument that a person with a modicum of understanding would at least find remotely tenable.