uwot wrote:Scott Mayers wrote:(1) Confirmation IS a 'verification' of a hypothesis.
Well, what I said was:
Earlier I wrote:Theories are not 'confirmed'; the predictions are either verified, or they are not and any complementary mathematical treatment either works or it doesn't.
It is the predictive power of an hypothesis which is confirmed, not the model on which it might be based.
There is a lot to respond to not to mention that I haven't caught up on everyone else's discussion here. Let me just take each things one at a time here.
First off, please get this straight of me off the top: I am FOR science and even stronger an advocate FOR logic and reasoning overall. I notice how you, as many do, tend to respond to me defensively when I criticize the "institute of science" as it is practiced today as though I'm defaulted to fit in to some anti-scientific (and anti-intellectual) position without knowing who I am. It's interesting to see how this very stereotyping occurs and why I am motivated more often to defend even the supposed 'nutcases' for seeing how arrogant attitudes foster the opposing reaction that defeats enticing people into more intellectual pursuits that embrace reasoning and science.
I am well-versed in science, math, history, and philosophy of most areas universally and so much of what I hear of others informing me is NOT news to me. As to the philosophy of science, I am most invested because I do have contributions to make yet have noticed that to my disappointment, many in this community I am discovering is actually as irrational as the supposed nutcases that get all to easily attacked.
On topic, science through its present 'method' emphasizes procedure that is most suited to a labor-union mentality that expects its practitioners to be mostly subject to 'labor' type positions in jobs relating to science. As such, since the early half of the last century, the focus of scientific method and any intellectual pursuits through Universities, is to optimize outputting students who can get jobs and to learn to think in terms of responding TO authority (as there bosses in such jobs) rather than to 'think' independently. So they have overhauled the education system to reverse the WAY people are taught from early education through to University that previous ways did. In particular, the older ways emphasized understanding from the get-go by focusing on logic initially and then to advance in a foundational step-by-step process of understanding.
Today however, the 'way' is for education to focus on clerical factors first with special attention to trying to make people 'mechanically' responsive, rather than to 'think' first. It demands students think in ways that place significance on HOW future intellectuals should respect authorities both in their careers and to those of the institutes representative 'heroes'. As such, initial attention is to require the young student to 'trust' blindly in the theories they are learning with relatively trivial proofs sufficient to justify 'faith' in those authorized to teach. Then the clerical type skills are focused on, such as how to do research papers that teach them to how to CREDIT others rather than to ones' own intellectual reflection, or to learn how to anally follow strict protocols in doing experiments and recording data.
While these are good for the political expedience of getting more of the variety of scientists needed to do 'footwork', it inhibits the type of thinking more suitable for theoretical thinkers because it places this type of education at the END of one's education rather than up front. For instance, to get a degree today, you begin as an undergraduate who learns the skills to 'follow' (not lead), then to "master" what has already been authorized as legitimate wisdom, and then and only then, to grant those post masters to philosophize freely (the 'philosophy degree' or doctorate).
The process though favors those with good 'clerical' skills foremost, like ones defaulted to naturally excelled memories, and less on those with intellectual reflective capacities that make them good self-driven learners of novel ideas. This is why, for instance, you don't find too many rock-and-roll stars with initial PHDs....creativity is a function of intuition, non-authoritarian faith, and novelty most normal to the young.
One of the major problems of this preference that is embedded in the modern 'method' is that it imposes those who want to compete intellectually to require investing in the lengthier processes established by present University institutes that upon reaching a PHD biases them to justify the 'way' they've been taught afterthefact based on that investment alone. As such, it only amplifies the tendency of the institutes to output more 'authoritative' individuals and less independent thinkers. And when or where they are 'creative', they come across rather awkward in how they are capable of relating to the lay person ideas that can be relatively clearer if the process was based on a foundational way instead.
To give a good example if you might know, the type of output students the method is designed to favor is to those of the Tycho Brahe variety versus a Kepler or Newton. Though we still emphasize the significance of the stronger credibility of the 'thinkers' of the past, we actually have science today promoting the 'followers' who are most 'anal' and obedient to procedure. And thus, even the "method" today is being treated as a closed and sufficiently sound process that is considered, "universal" as a form of ritualized commandment passed down to which others are not permitted to question.
And so I bring up my contentions here (as elsewhere) to the specific aspects of the paradigm to which shows some of its flaws. One is that science as a practice has now become a practice demanding that
those who put forth "theories" should require a novel experiment to either confirm the present accepted theories OR, if they are to surpass them, must be of a type of experiment that overthrows the collective set of established theory thus far. It places a burden impossibly too high as a safeguard against having to go back an do a lot of repair on past authorities. It is also set up in such a way that actually hypocritically prevents the actual capacity to overthrow certain ideas that are politically derived. And yes, this is partly 'conspiratorial' but is often done without intent not notice that such actually exists. If people voluntarily comply to some set of behaviors, it is false to presume no one is conspiring. If you have a group of all men in some organization, for instance, while even most 'unintentional', you can rationally be sure that at least some 'conspiring' behavior against women can reasonably occur.
So my first issue I mentioned is this requirement of needing a "novel experiment" because it is NOT a universal requirement that should be set in stone. While most suitable to prove most things, with respect to the 'fringe' sciences, much of these are absolutely impossible to find. And so what occurs is that we have the initial person who suggested the theory that worked via some novel experiment, get to be privileged to also claim the copyright to the explanation. So, for example, Einstein had a set of explanations that initially treated 'time' as a kind of essence that altered relative to different inertial frames. But I, as well as others likely, place the phenomena on matter still in the same way one might use the physics of the brain as an explanation for consciousness rather than to a non-physical existence. Consciousness can be rationally argued as being the effect of the physics but not treat the effect itself as an essence that is independent of the brain. To Einstein's original position via his Special Relativity, 'time' was granted the same type of essence as a soul, even if not realizing it. But should I have a better explanation, it would be still resisted even as rational as it could be because there is a very real taboo against challenging the authority of Einstein. (And this DOES occur, contrary to your false impression that it doesn't.)
And this example is what is problematic as a good example. You could actually have a better explanation for some already clearly proven (confirmed proven) theory but it is impermissible because the institutions place the prerequisite burden that one must require a novel experiment to disprove the old or affirm an extension of the old even for simply altering the authoritative 'story' (the explanation). Treating it as mere 'metaphysics' is also insulting as this still lacks any power to change the explanation within the institute of science which has the advantage of providing better insight into other areas in conflict within science. It is completely irrational except if you consider it a result of a political motivation. I have many other examples too and can provide it if asked.