Mike Strand wrote:Tell me what's wrong with this interpretation:
I have two dice in a can and am rattling them around just before throwing them down on the table. The possible outcomes are 2 through 12 dots showing as the future observation, when the dice come to rest on the table, with various probabilities. Conceptually, there is a distribution of possible outcomes associated with my rattling can -- a "wave" function (probability distribution) of outcomes that "collapses" when I throw the dice onto the table and the dice settle down and stop moving.
Theoretically we could use the physics of mechanics to predict the outcome, if we knew all of the relevant data about the dice and can (their physical properties) and the forces involved in the shaking and rattling of the can. But this is impossible, so we build a probability model based on the assumption of equally probable (1/6) outcomes for the individual dice and the laws of probability for compound events. Of course, a physical die is not perfectly balanced, etc, but barring badly lopsided dice, the wave function describing all possible outcomes is usually good enough, assuming one or more of the dice don't get lost from a wild throw-down.
Mike, I don't think there is anything wrong with this provided that we accept live in a completely deterministic universe. In other words, the laws of probability are not really probable because we cannot take into account all of the relevant factors. Things just appear to be probable. If we could somehow calculate all of the variables involved then we would discover that all events of the past and all the events into the future were and are determined by the laws of physics.
The only problem with this is that most interpretations of quantum mechanics refutes these ideas.